baoklu

0x33ee75...0ef163

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.6%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

284

Sharpe Ratio

-0.37

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

1976.1%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	5.203	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.7¢	6.03	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	6.039	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	10.08	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	7.04	Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	6.061	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	10.081	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	7.54	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	7.543	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	9.24	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	9.221	Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.4¢	7.042	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.8¢	12.67	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	12.674	Mar 4
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	6.06	Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.4¢	9.04	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	5.05	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	13.72	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	13.725	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.5%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity284 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$1618d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue